VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
VVV Venlo
FC Eindhoven
November 14, 2026 at 20:00 · Seacon Stadion De Koel
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VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven prediction and betting tip for this Netherlands Eerste Divisie match, kicking off November 14, 2026 at 20:00 at Seacon Stadion De Koel. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.20), 86% confidence.
VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven Preview
VVV Venlo host FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (matchday 15) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 GMT+0100 at Seacon Stadion De Koel in Venlo.
VVV Venlo have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-W-D), averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. FC Eindhoven have five defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-L-L), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings VVV Venlo have won 4, FC Eindhoven 0, with 2 draws and an average of 2.7 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished VVV Venlo 1-0 FC Eindhoven.
VVV Venlo average 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1. FC Eindhoven average 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: L. Schmidt leads VVV Venlo's scoring with 5 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make VVV Venlo the favourites: VVV Venlo 1.57, draw 4.20, FC Eindhoven 4.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.44 and under at 2.70. Both teams to score: yes 1.50, no 2.50.
Our prediction: VVV Venlo or draw (1X). The model gives VVV Venlo or a draw a 100% chance, VVV Venlo have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 3 places above FC Eindhoven.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Season stats
| VVV Venlo | FC Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 9 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 2 / 9 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 37 (2.6) | 18 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 22 (1.6) | 31 (2.2) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.7 / 2.6 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- L. Schmidt 5 goals · 1 assist
- É. Clancy 5 goals · 0 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.35 – 0.99 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 95/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo win | 67.6% | 58.7% | 1.57 | +6.2% |
| Draw | 18.0% | 21.9% | 4.20 | -24.3% |
| FC Eindhoven win | 14.3% | 19.4% | 4.75 | -31.9% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 85.7% | 80.6% | 1.20 | +2.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 32.4% | 41.3% | 2.25 | -27.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% | 84.3% | 1.12 | -5.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.8% | 65.2% | 1.44 | -6.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.2% | 34.8% | 2.70 | -5.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57.2% | 55.7% | 1.67 | -4.5% |
| Both teams to score | 56.8% | 62.5% | 1.50 | -14.7% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 50%, draw 50%, away 0%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 13 Nov 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: VVV Venlo or draw (1X) — The model gives VVV Venlo or a draw a 100% chance, VVV Venlo have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 3 places above FC Eindhoven.
Form (last 5)
VVV Venlo
WDWWD
2.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
FC Eindhoven
LLLLL
0.6 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 VVV Venlo wins 2 draws 0 FC Eindhoven wins last 6 meetings
- VVV Venlo1 - 0FC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie
- FC Eindhoven0 - 1VVV Venlo Eerste Divisie
- VVV Venlo2 - 2FC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie
- FC Eindhoven1 - 3VVV Venlo Eerste Divisie
- VVV Venlo2 - 2FC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie
- FC Eindhoven0 - 2VVV Venlo Eerste Divisie
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:27. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
