Dordrecht vs Heracles
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht
Heracles
November 14, 2026 at 20:00 · GN Bouw Stadion
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Dordrecht vs Heracles prediction and betting tip for this Netherlands Eerste Divisie match, kicking off November 14, 2026 at 20:00 at GN Bouw Stadion. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2) (odds 1.12), 87% confidence.
Dordrecht vs Heracles Preview
Dordrecht host Heracles in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (matchday 15) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 GMT+0100 at GN Bouw Stadion in Dordrecht.
Dordrecht have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-D), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Heracles have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-W-W), averaging 3.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
In their last 5 meetings Dordrecht have won 0, Heracles 4, with 1 draw and an average of 4.6 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2023, finished Dordrecht 1-3 Heracles.
Dordrecht average 1.3 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Heracles average 3.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: J. N'djoli leads Heracles's scoring with 14 goals and 2 assists.
Bookmakers make Heracles the favourites: Dordrecht 6.00, draw 4.75, Heracles 1.42 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.44 and under at 2.70. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction: Heracles or draw (X2). The model gives Heracles or a draw a 100% chance, Heracles have won 4 of their last 5 and bookmakers make Heracles favourites at 1.42.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Season stats
| Dordrecht | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 3 / 8 | 11 / 2 / 1 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 18 (1.3) | 44 (3.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 34 (2.4) | 15 (1.1) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 3.3 / 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 6 |
| Biggest win | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- J. N'djoli 14 goals · 2 assists
- T. van Gilst 11 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.00 – 2.51 · most likely score 0-2 · data quality 96/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht win | 12.9% | 15.4% | 6.00 | -22.4% |
| Draw | 16.7% | 19.5% | 4.75 | -20.7% |
| Heracles win | 70.4% | 65.1% | 1.42 | -0.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 29.6% | 34.9% | 2.75 | -18.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 87.1% | 84.6% | 1.12 | -2.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% | 84.3% | 1.12 | -3.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.1% | 65.2% | 1.44 | -1.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31.9% | 34.8% | 2.70 | -13.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53.5% | 55.7% | 1.67 | -10.7% |
| Both teams to score | 57.9% | 57.6% | 1.62 | -6.1% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 0%, draw 50%, away 50%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 13 Nov 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Heracles or draw (X2) — The model gives Heracles or a draw a 100% chance, Heracles have won 4 of their last 5 and bookmakers make Heracles favourites at 1.42.
Form (last 5)
Dordrecht
LWLLD
1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Heracles
WWDWW
3.2 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Dordrecht wins 1 draws 4 Heracles wins last 5 meetings
- Dordrecht1 - 3Heracles Eerste Divisie
- Heracles8 - 1Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
- Heracles3 - 0Dordrecht KNVB Beker
- Dordrecht2 - 3Heracles Eredivisie
- Heracles1 - 1Dordrecht Eredivisie
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:27. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
