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Mozambique vs Ethiopia

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Mozambique Mozambique
VS
Ethiopia Ethiopia

November 13, 2026 at 14:00

Lost

Predicted Outcome Home Win
Final Score 0-1 (0-0)

Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction and betting tip for this Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification match, kicking off November 13, 2026 at 14:00. Our tip: Home Win (odds 1.57). Final score: 0-1 (0-0). The tip lost.

Mozambique 0-1 Ethiopia: Match Report

Ethiopia won 1-0 away at Mozambique in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Friday, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.

Kenean Markneh opened the scoring for Ethiopia on 87 minutes.

Mozambique had 72% of the ball and 17 shots (3 on target) to Ethiopia's 11 (5). Expected goals finished Mozambique 1.04, Ethiopia 1.15, a close game on chances.

Our tip, Mozambique to win (1), lost as Ethiopia won.

Goals & cards

  • 87' Kenean Markneh Ethiopia

Match stats

MozambiqueEthiopia
72% 28% Possession
1.04 1.15 Expected goals (xG)
17 11 Shots
3 5 Shots on target
9 3 Corners
4 3 Saves
8 18 Fouls
1 4 Offsides
0 0 Yellow cards
0 0 Red cards

Before the match

Mozambique hosted Ethiopia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 GMT+0100 at Estádio do Zimpeto in Maputo. Arima Mohamed Moustapha Akakpo was the referee.

Mozambique are 2nd in the table with 4 points from 2 games (1-1-0), while Ethiopia sit 4th on 0 points. Mozambique have a 4-point advantage. At home Mozambique have won 1 of 2; Ethiopia have won 0 of 1 on the road.

Mozambique have one win and one draw in their last 2 league games (D-W), averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Ethiopia have two wins and two defeats in their last 4 league games (W-W-L-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded.

In their last 1 meetings Mozambique have won 0, Ethiopia 0, with 1 draw and an average of 0.0 goals per game. The most recent, in January 2023, finished Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique.

Mozambique average 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Ethiopia average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.

Players to watch: Chamito leads Mozambique's scoring with 2 goals.

Line-ups: Mozambique lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Ethiopia in a 4-3-3.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made Mozambique the favourites: Mozambique 1.57, draw 3.50, Ethiopia 6.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.15 and under at 1.67. Both teams to score: yes 2.20, no 1.62.

Our prediction was Mozambique to win (1). Bookmakers make Mozambique favourites at 1.57.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
2Mozambique2110+34
4Ethiopia2002-20

Season stats

MozambiqueEthiopia
Played24
Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 1 / 02 / 0 / 2
Goals scored (per game)5 (2.5)4 (1.0)
Goals conceded (per game)2 (1.0)2 (0.5)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.5 / 0.00.5 / 1.5
Clean sheets02
Failed to score02
Longest winning run02
Biggest win4-11-0
Usual formation4-2-3-14-4-2

Top scorers

Mozambique
  • Chamito 2 goals · 0 assists
Ethiopia

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Odds (Bet365)

Mozambique1.57 Draw3.50 Ethiopia6.00 1X1.11 121.28 X22.25 Over 1.51.36 Under 1.53.00 Over 3.54.00 Under 3.51.22 Over 2.52.15 Under 2.51.67 BTTS Yes2.20 BTTS No1.62

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

Mozambique (4-2-3-1)

Ernan Alberto Siluane, Diogo Calila, Bruno Wilson, Edmilson Dove, Bruno Langa, A. Amade, Manuel Kambala, Geny Catamo, Cândido Osvaldo Mathe, Witi, Stanley Ratifo

Coach: Chiquinho Conde

Ethiopia (4-3-3)

abubakar nuri, Alelegn Muluneh, Melkamu Bogale, Bereket Wolde Waza, Kaleb Beyene, Gathouch Panom, Kenean Markneh, Wogene Gezahegn, Abel Habtamu, Carlos Damtew, B. Fikru

Coach: Y. Sahle

Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 16:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

API-Football win probability (for comparison)

Mozambique 10% Draw 45% Ethiopia 45%

Our tip: Mozambique to win (1) — Bookmakers make Mozambique favourites at 1.57.

Form (last 5)

Mozambique DW 2.5 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Ethiopia WWLL 1.0 scored · 0.5 conceded per game

Team comparison

MozambiqueEthiopia
40% 60% Form
56% 44% Attack
50% 50% Defence
42% 58% Poisson
50% 50% Head-to-head
0% 0% Goals
48% 52% Overall

Head-to-head

0 Mozambique wins 1 draws 0 Ethiopia wins last 1 meeting

  • Ethiopia0 - 0Mozambique African Nations Championship

Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).