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Nigeria vs Tanzania

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Nigeria Nigeria
VS
Tanzania Tanzania

November 13, 2026 at 17:00 · Godswill Akpabio International Stadium

Won

Predicted Outcome Home Win
Final Score 3-1 (1-1)

Nigeria vs Tanzania prediction and betting tip for this Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification match, kicking off November 13, 2026 at 17:00 at Godswill Akpabio International Stadium. Our tip: Home Win (odds 1.20). Final score: 3-1 (1-1). The tip won.

Nigeria 3-1 Tanzania: Match Report

Nigeria beat Tanzania 3-1 at Godswill Akpabio International Stadium in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Friday. It was 1-1 at the break.

Alhassan Yusuf opened the scoring for Nigeria on 2 minutes, set up by Ademola Lookman. Alphonce Msanga levelled for Tanzania on 32 minutes, set up by Novatus Miroshi. Tolu Arokodare put Nigeria in front on 52 minutes, set up by Wilfred Ndidi. Tolu Arokodare made it 3-1 on 60 minutes, set up by Moses Usor.

Nigeria had 68% of the ball and 17 shots (7 on target) to Tanzania's 9 (2). Expected goals finished Nigeria 2.14, Tanzania 1.39, so Nigeria deserved the win.

Referee Jean-Jacques Ndala showed 1 yellow card.

Our tip, Nigeria to win (1), won as Nigeria won.

Goals & cards

  • 2' Alhassan Yusuf Nigeria · assist Ademola Lookman
  • 12' Alhassan Yusuf Nigeria · Yellow Card
  • 32' Alphonce Msanga Tanzania · assist Novatus Miroshi
  • 52' Tolu Arokodare Nigeria · assist Wilfred Ndidi
  • 60' Tolu Arokodare Nigeria · assist Moses Usor

Match stats

NigeriaTanzania
68% 32% Possession
2.14 1.39 Expected goals (xG)
17 9 Shots
7 2 Shots on target
6 3 Corners
1 4 Saves
12 14 Fouls
3 5 Offsides
1 0 Yellow cards
0 0 Red cards

Before the match

Nigeria hosted Tanzania in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 GMT+0100 at Godswill Akpabio International Stadium in Uyo. Jean-Jacques Ndala was the referee.

Nigeria are 2nd in the table with 3 points from 2 games (1-0-1), while Tanzania sit 4th on 1 points. Only 2 points separate them. At home Nigeria have won 1 of 1; Tanzania have won 0 of 1 on the road.

Nigeria have one win and one defeat in their last 2 league games (W-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Tanzania have one draw and one defeat in their last 2 league games (L-D), averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.

In their last 1 meetings Nigeria have won 1, Tanzania 0, with 0 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in December 2025, finished Nigeria 2-1 Tanzania.

Nigeria average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Tanzania average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.

Line-ups: Nigeria lined up in a 4-4-2, Tanzania in a 4-4-2.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made Nigeria the favourites: Nigeria 1.20, draw 7.00, Tanzania 9.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.70 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 2.75, no 1.40.

Our prediction was Nigeria to win (1). The model makes Nigeria favourites at 45% and the bookmakers agree (1.20).

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
2Nigeria2101-23
4Tanzania2011-21

Season stats

NigeriaTanzania
Played22
Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 0 / 10 / 1 / 1
Goals scored (per game)2 (1.0)1 (0.5)
Goals conceded (per game)4 (2.0)3 (1.5)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.0 / 0.00.0 / 1.0
Clean sheets00
Failed to score11
Longest winning run10
Biggest win2-1—
Usual formation4-4-24-3-3

Odds (Bet365)

Nigeria1.20 Draw7.00 Tanzania9.00 1X1.04 121.07 X24.50 Over 1.51.22 Under 1.54.00 Over 3.52.75 Under 3.51.40 Over 2.51.70 Under 2.52.10 BTTS Yes2.75 BTTS No1.40

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

Nigeria (4-4-2)

S. Nwabali, A. Bewene, B. Fredrick, C. Bassey, O. Aina, A. Yusuf, A. Iwobi, W. Ndidi, T. Nnadi, A. Lookman, A. Adams

Coach: Éric Chelle

Tanzania (4-4-2)

A. Manula, H. Mnoga, B. Mwamnyeto, I. Hamad, Anthony Richard Mlingo, N. Chilambo, A. Msanga, H. Mao, N. Dismas, Denis Kibu, Cyprian Kachwele

Coach: M. Gamondi

Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 19:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

API-Football win probability (for comparison)

Nigeria 45% Draw 45% Tanzania 10%

Our tip: Nigeria to win (1) — The model makes Nigeria favourites at 45% and the bookmakers agree (1.20).

Form (last 5)

Nigeria WL 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Tanzania LD 0.5 scored · 1.5 conceded per game

Team comparison

NigeriaTanzania
75% 25% Form
67% 33% Attack
43% 57% Defence
63% 37% Poisson
100% 0% Head-to-head
67% 33% Goals
63% 37% Overall

Head-to-head

1 Nigeria wins 0 draws 0 Tanzania wins last 1 meeting

  • Nigeria2 - 1Tanzania Africa Cup of Nations

Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).