Zambia vs Burundi
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Zambia
Burundi
November 13, 2026 at 14:00 · Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Lost
Zambia vs Burundi prediction and betting tip for this Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification match, kicking off November 13, 2026 at 14:00 at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium. Our tip: Home Win (odds 1.62). Final score: 1-1 (0-0). The tip lost.
Zambia 1-1 Burundi: Match Report
Zambia and Burundi shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Friday. It was goalless at half-time.
Edward Chilufya opened the scoring for Zambia on 65 minutes, set up by A. Kangwanda. J. Girumugisha levelled for Burundi on 82 minutes, set up by Gael Bigirimana.
Zambia had 55% of the ball and 12 shots (3 on target) to Burundi's 10 (4). Expected goals finished Zambia 1.03, Burundi 1.02, so a draw was a fair result.
Referee Washington Dolo showed 4 yellow cards.
Our tip, Zambia to win (1), lost as the game ended level.
Goals & cards
- 27' David Hamansenya Zambia · Yellow Card
- 36' Dominic Chanda Zambia · Yellow Card
- 63' Omar Moussa Burundi · Yellow Card
- 65' Edward Chilufya Zambia · assist A. Kangwanda
- 82' J. Girumugisha Burundi · assist Gael Bigirimana
- 90+2' Gael Bigirimana Burundi · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Zambia hosted Burundi in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 GMT+0100 at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium in Ndola. Washington Dolo was the referee.
Zambia are 2nd in the table with 3 points from 2 games (1-0-1), while Burundi sit 4th on 1 points. Only 2 points separate them. At home Zambia have won 1 of 1; Burundi have won 0 of 1 on the road.
Zambia have one win and one defeat in their last 2 league games (L-W), averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Burundi have two wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 4 league games (W-W-L-D), averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
In their last 2 meetings Zambia have won 1, Burundi 0, with 1 draw and an average of 0.5 goals per game. The most recent, in December 2013, finished Zambia 0-0 Burundi.
Zambia average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Burundi average 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
Line-ups: Zambia lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Burundi in a 3-4-3.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Zambia the favourites: Zambia 1.62, draw 3.25, Burundi 5.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.35 and under at 1.57. Both teams to score: yes 2.38, no 1.53.
Our prediction was Zambia to win (1). The model makes Zambia favourites at 45% and the bookmakers agree (1.62).
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Season stats
| Zambia | Burundi | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 4 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 1 / 0 / 1 | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 3 (1.5) | 10 (2.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 3 (1.5) | 3 (0.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 0 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-3-3 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Willard Mwanza, M. Banda, Ricky Chanda, Dominic Chanda, D. Hamansenya, Prince Mumba, M. Chaiwa, E. Chilufya, A. Kangwanda, F. Sakala, Derrick Bulaya
Coach: M. Sichone
J. Nahimana, Y. Ndayishimiye, F. Nsabiyumva, Omar Moussa, E. Swedi, Mokono Elie Eldhino, H. Msanga, A. Muderi, B. Kanakimana, Asman ndikumana, J. Girumugisha
Coach: P. Sangwa
Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 16:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Zambia to win (1) — The model makes Zambia favourites at 45% and the bookmakers agree (1.62).
Form (last 5)
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Zambia wins 1 draws 0 Burundi wins last 2 meetings
- Zambia0 - 0Burundi CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup
- Zambia1 - 0Burundi CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
