Rochdale vs York
England League Two
Rochdale
York
November 14, 2026 at 16:00 · Spotland
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Rochdale vs York prediction and betting tip for this England League Two match, kicking off November 14, 2026 at 16:00 at Spotland. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.18), 90% confidence.
Rochdale vs York Preview
Rochdale host York in the England League Two (matchday 15) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 GMT+0100 at Spotland in Rochdale.
Rochdale are 20th in the table with 15 points from 14 games (4-3-7), while York sit 7th on 20 points. York have a 5-point advantage. At home Rochdale have won 3 of 7; York have won 0 of 7 on the road.
Rochdale have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-D-L-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. York have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-L-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Rochdale have won 0, York 4, with 2 draws and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Rochdale 1-1 York.
Rochdale average 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. York average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: O. Pearce leads York's scoring with 6 goals and 4 assists.
Bookmakers make York the favourites: Rochdale 4.10, draw 4.00, York 1.70 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60 and under at 2.30. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.5 goals and recent form points to 3.9 goals a game.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
Season stats
| Rochdale | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 4 / 3 / 7 | 5 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 17 (1.2) | 24 (1.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 26 (1.9) | 21 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.4 / 1.0 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 3-4-2-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- O. Pearce 6 goals · 4 assists
- A. Newby 6 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.85 – 2.08 · most likely score 1-2 · data quality 90/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale win | 35.1% | 22.5% | 4.10 | +43.9% |
| Draw | 20.8% | 23.1% | 4.00 | -17.0% |
| York win | 44.1% | 54.4% | 1.70 | -25.0% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 55.9% | 45.6% | 2.10 | +17.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 64.9% | 77.5% | 1.22 | -20.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.4% | 79.2% | 1.18 | +6.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.2% | 59.0% | 1.60 | +20.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24.8% | 41.0% | 2.30 | -43.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44.6% | 62.5% | 1.50 | -33.1% |
| Both teams to score | 73.8% | 57.6% | 1.62 | +19.6% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 13 Nov 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.5 goals and recent form points to 3.9 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Rochdale
DLDLL
1.4 scored · 3.0 conceded per game
York
DDWLL
1.4 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Rochdale wins 2 draws 4 York wins last 6 meetings
- Rochdale1 - 1York National League
- York4 - 1Rochdale National League
- Rochdale1 - 2York FA Cup
- Rochdale0 - 4York National League
- York1 - 0Rochdale National League
- Rochdale0 - 0York National League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:27. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
