Goias vs Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
Goias
Ponte Preta
November 8, 2026 at 23:15 · Estádio da Serrinha
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Goias vs Ponte Preta prediction and betting tip for this Brazil Serie B match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 23:15 at Estádio da Serrinha. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.01), 92% confidence.
Goias vs Ponte Preta Preview
Goias host Ponte Preta in the Brazil Serie B (matchday 37) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 23:15 GMT+0100 at Estádio da Serrinha in Goiania. Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes is the referee.
Goias are 7th in the table with 55 points from 36 games (16-7-13), while Ponte Preta sit 20th on 15 points. Goias have a 40-point advantage. At home Goias have won 10 of 18; Ponte Preta have won 1 of 18 on the road.
Goias have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-W-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. Ponte Preta have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-D-D-L), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Goias have won 2, Ponte Preta 1, with 3 draws and an average of 3.2 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2026, finished Ponte Preta 1-2 Goias.
Goias average 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 10 clean sheets and 13 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Ponte Preta average 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 19 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Kadu leads Goias's scoring with 11 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Goias the favourites: Goias 1.11, draw 8.50, Ponte Preta 23.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 2.88. Both teams to score: yes 2.62, no 1.44.
Our prediction: Goias or draw (1X). The model gives Goias or a draw a 100% chance, Goias have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 7th, 13 places above Ponte Preta.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | -3 | 55 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | -57 | 15 |
Season stats
| Goias | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 36 | 36 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 16 / 7 / 13 | 3 / 6 / 27 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 38 (1.1) | 21 (0.6) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 41 (1.1) | 78 (2.2) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.0 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 13 | 19 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 1-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 3-4-2-1 |
Top scorers
- Kadu 11 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 13:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.22 – 0.58 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Goias win | 75.0% |
| Draw | 16.8% |
| Ponte Preta win | 8.2% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 91.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 25.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69.2% |
| Both teams to score | 39.2% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 50%, draw 50%, away 0%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 16:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Goias or draw (1X) — The model gives Goias or a draw a 100% chance, Goias have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 7th, 13 places above Ponte Preta.
Form (last 5)
Goias
WWDWW
1.6 scored · 0.4 conceded per game
Ponte Preta
LLDDL
0.8 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Goias wins 3 draws 1 Ponte Preta wins last 6 meetings
- Ponte Preta1 - 2Goias Serie B
- Ponte Preta1 - 1Goias Serie B
- Goias3 - 0Ponte Preta Serie B
- Goias2 - 2Ponte Preta Serie B
- Ponte Preta2 - 1Goias Serie B
- Goias2 - 2Ponte Preta Serie B
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 13:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
