Rio Ave vs SC Braga
Portugal Primeira Liga
Rio Ave
SC Braga
November 8, 2026 at 21:30 · Estádio dos Arcos
Upcoming
Rio Ave vs SC Braga prediction and betting tip for this Portugal Primeira Liga match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 21:30 at Estádio dos Arcos. Our tip: Away Win (odds 1.53), 67% confidence.
Rio Ave vs SC Braga Preview
Rio Ave host SC Braga in the Portugal Primeira Liga (matchday 11) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 GMT+0100 at Estádio dos Arcos in Vila do Conde. Claudio Pereira is the referee.
Rio Ave are 16th in the table with 7 points from 10 games (2-1-7), while SC Braga sit 8th on 14 points. SC Braga have a 7-point advantage. At home Rio Ave have won 1 of 5; SC Braga have won 1 of 5 on the road.
Rio Ave have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-L-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. SC Braga have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-L-L-W), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Rio Ave have won 1, SC Braga 3, with 2 draws and an average of 2.8 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished SC Braga 3-0 Rio Ave.
Rio Ave average 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. SC Braga average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-3.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Pau Victor leads SC Braga's scoring with 5 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make SC Braga the favourites: Rio Ave 6.00, draw 4.10, SC Braga 1.53 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80 and under at 2.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.91, no 1.91.
Our prediction: SC Braga to win (2). The model makes SC Braga favourites at 45%, Rio Ave have lost 3 of their last 5 and SC Braga sit 8th, 8 places above Rio Ave.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Season stats
| Rio Ave | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 1 / 7 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 9 (0.9) | 12 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 23 (2.3) | 11 (1.1) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-2 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 3-4-3 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- Pau Victor 5 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.90 – 2.10 · most likely score 0-2 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Rio Ave win | 15.1% |
| Draw | 19.9% |
| SC Braga win | 65.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 34.9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 84.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64.7% |
| Both teams to score | 52.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 16:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: SC Braga to win (2) — The model makes SC Braga favourites at 45%, Rio Ave have lost 3 of their last 5 and SC Braga sit 8th, 8 places above Rio Ave.
Form (last 5)
Rio Ave
DLWLL
1.4 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
SC Braga
DLLLW
1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Rio Ave wins 2 draws 3 SC Braga wins last 6 meetings
- SC Braga3 - 0Rio Ave Primeira Liga
- Rio Ave2 - 2SC Braga Primeira Liga
- Rio Ave2 - 1SC Braga Primeira Liga
- SC Braga4 - 0Rio Ave Primeira Liga
- Rio Ave0 - 0SC Braga Primeira Liga
- SC Braga2 - 1Rio Ave Primeira Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 06:01. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
