Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira
Colombia Primera A
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
November 8, 2026 at 00:10 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Upcoming
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 00:10 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.05), 94% confidence.
- Home Win Upcoming
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira Preview
Atletico Nacional host Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 18) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:10 GMT+0100 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Atletico Nacional are 1st in the table with 36 points from 17 games (11-3-3), while Deportivo Pereira sit 16th on 17 points. Atletico Nacional have a 19-point advantage. At home Atletico Nacional have won 6 of 8; Deportivo Pereira have won 1 of 8 on the road.
Atletico Nacional have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-W-W-W-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Deportivo Pereira have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-W-D-W-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 2, Deportivo Pereira 3, with 1 draw and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Atletico Nacional.
Atletico Nacional average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 14 clean sheets and 11 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Deportivo Pereira average 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 17 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: A. Morelos leads Atletico Nacional's scoring with 14 goals and 6 assists.
Bookmakers make Atletico Nacional the favourites: Atletico Nacional 1.22, draw 6.00, Deportivo Pereira 13.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 2.88. Both teams to score: yes 2.10, no 1.67.
Our prediction: Atletico Nacional or draw (1X). The model gives Atletico Nacional or a draw a 90% chance, Atletico Nacional have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Deportivo Pereira.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +19 | 36 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -9 | 17 |
Season stats
| Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 42 | 36 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 29 / 4 / 9 | 4 / 15 / 17 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 82 (2.0) | 28 (0.8) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 35 (0.8) | 54 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.4 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 14 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 11 | 17 |
| Longest winning run | 5 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 7-1 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 5-3-2 |
Top scorers
- A. Morelos 14 goals · 6 assists
- A. Sarmiento 11 goals · 7 assists
- E. Cardona 10 goals · 4 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 10:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.29 – 0.42 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional win | 79.9% |
| Draw | 14.8% |
| Deportivo Pereira win | 5.3% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 94.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 20.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.2% |
| Both teams to score | 30.8% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 16:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Atletico Nacional or draw (1X) — The model gives Atletico Nacional or a draw a 90% chance, Atletico Nacional have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Deportivo Pereira.
Form (last 5)
Atletico Nacional
LWWWD
1.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Deportivo Pereira
DWDWL
1.2 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Atletico Nacional wins 1 draws 3 Deportivo Pereira wins last 6 meetings
- Deportivo Pereira1 - 0Atletico Nacional Primera A
- Deportivo Pereira2 - 1Atletico Nacional Primera A
- Atletico Nacional3 - 0Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Deportivo Pereira1 - 1Atletico Nacional Primera A
- Atletico Nacional0 - 1Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Atletico Nacional3 - 1Deportivo Pereira Copa Colombia
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 03:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
