Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932
Portugal Segunda Liga
Amarante
Felgueiras 1932
November 15, 2026 at 12:00 · Municipal de Amarante
Upcoming
Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction and betting tip for this Portugal Segunda Liga match, kicking off November 15, 2026 at 12:00 at Municipal de Amarante. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.18), 80% confidence.
Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 Preview
Amarante host Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal Segunda Liga (matchday 11) on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 GMT+0100 at Municipal de Amarante. Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira is the referee.
Amarante are 14th in the table with 9 points from 10 games (2-3-5), while Felgueiras 1932 sit 15th on 8 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Amarante have won 2 of 5; Felgueiras 1932 have won 0 of 5 on the road.
Amarante have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-L-W-D), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Felgueiras 1932 have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-D-L-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
In their last 2 meetings Amarante have won 1, Felgueiras 1932 0, with 1 draw and an average of 4.0 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2020, finished Felgueiras 1932 3-5 Amarante.
Amarante average 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-3. Felgueiras 1932 average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Gonçalo Cunha leads Amarante's scoring with 1 goal.
Bookmakers make Amarante the favourites: Amarante 2.40, draw 3.00, Felgueiras 1932 2.80 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.40 and under at 1.53. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.73.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.5 goals, recent form points to 3.2 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.18.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Amarante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
Season stats
| Amarante | Felgueiras 1932 | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 3 / 5 | 1 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 9 (0.9) | 12 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 13 (1.3) | 15 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-3 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- Gonçalo Cunha 1 goal · 0 assists
- A. Idache 0 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.13 – 1.15 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarante win | 35.2% | 37.6% | 2.40 | -15.4% |
| Draw | 28.5% | 30.1% | 3.00 | -14.4% |
| Felgueiras 1932 win | 36.2% | 32.3% | 2.80 | +1.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 63.8% | 67.7% | 1.36 | -13.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 64.8% | 62.4% | 1.50 | -2.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.4% | 64.5% | 1.44 | -4.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.9% | 38.9% | 2.40 | -4.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60.1% | 61.1% | 1.53 | -8.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80.3% | 79.2% | 1.18 | -5.2% |
| Both teams to score | 46.3% | 46.4% | 2.00 | -7.5% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 14 Nov 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.5 goals, recent form points to 3.2 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.18.
Form (last 5)
Amarante
DLLWD
1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Felgueiras 1932
LLDLD
1.6 scored · 2.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Amarante wins 1 draws 0 Felgueiras 1932 wins last 2 meetings
- Felgueiras 19323 - 5Amarante Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
- Amarante0 - 0Felgueiras 1932 Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Statistics: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
