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Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam

Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
VS
FC Volendam FC Volendam

November 6, 2026 at 20:00 · Lavans Stadion

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Predicted Outcome Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence 87%

Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam prediction and betting tip for this Netherlands Eerste Divisie match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 20:00 at Lavans Stadion. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.14), 87% confidence.

Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam Preview

Helmond Sport host FC Volendam in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (matchday 14) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 GMT+0100 at Lavans Stadion in Helmond.

Helmond Sport have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-L-L-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. FC Volendam have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-W-L), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Helmond Sport have won 0, FC Volendam 5, with 1 draw and an average of 3.8 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2025, finished FC Volendam 3-1 Helmond Sport.

Helmond Sport average 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. FC Volendam average 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Players to watch: H. Veerman leads FC Volendam's scoring with 13 goals and 2 assists.

Bookmakers make FC Volendam the favourites: Helmond Sport 2.70, draw 3.60, FC Volendam 2.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.50 and under at 2.50. Both teams to score: yes 1.44, no 2.62.

Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 4.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.8 goals and recent form points to 4.0 goals a game.

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
7Helmond Sport000000
11FC Volendam000000

Season stats

Helmond SportFC Volendam
Played1313
Won / Drawn / Lost3 / 3 / 76 / 1 / 6
Goals scored (per game)23 (1.8)30 (2.3)
Goals conceded (per game)28 (2.2)22 (1.7)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.0 / 1.53.3 / 1.2
Clean sheets03
Failed to score22
Longest winning run21
Biggest win4-26-1
Usual formation4-4-24-2-3-1

Top scorers

Helmond Sport

No player in the league's top scorers list.

FC Volendam
  • H. Veerman 13 goals · 2 assists
  • R. Niemeijer 5 goals · 2 assists

Odds (Bet365)

Helmond Sport2.70 Draw3.60 FC Volendam2.50 1X1.50 121.28 X21.44 Over 1.51.14 Under 1.55.50 Over 3.52.20 Under 3.51.62 Over 2.51.50 Under 2.52.50 BTTS Yes1.44 BTTS No2.62

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 17:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Model probabilities

Expected goals 1.98 – 1.60 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 81/100

Market Model
Helmond Sport win 46.8%
Draw 21.6%
FC Volendam win 31.6%
Home or draw (1X) 68.4%
Away or draw (X2) 53.2%
Over 1.5 goals 87.3%
Over 2.5 goals 69.4%
Under 2.5 goals 30.6%
Under 3.5 goals 51.9%
Both teams to score 68.8%

For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.

Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 17:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

API-Football win probability (for comparison)

Helmond Sport 10% Draw 45% FC Volendam 45%

Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 4.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.8 goals and recent form points to 4.0 goals a game.

Form (last 5)

Helmond Sport DLLLW 2.0 scored · 2.8 conceded per game
FC Volendam LWDWL 2.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per game

Team comparison

Helmond SportFC Volendam
36% 64% Form
50% 50% Attack
30% 70% Defence
69% 31% Poisson
7% 93% Head-to-head
27% 73% Goals
37% 64% Overall

Head-to-head

0 Helmond Sport wins 1 draws 5 FC Volendam wins last 6 meetings

  • FC Volendam3 - 1Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
  • Helmond Sport2 - 3FC Volendam Eerste Divisie
  • FC Volendam4 - 1Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
  • Helmond Sport1 - 1FC Volendam Eerste Divisie
  • FC Volendam5 - 1Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
  • Helmond Sport0 - 1FC Volendam Eerste Divisie

Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).