Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Germany: Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
November 6, 2026 at 20:30 · Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
Won
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction and betting tip for this Germany: Bundesliga match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 20:30 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburger. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.18), 75% confidence. Final score: 3-1 (1-1). The tip won.
Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach: Match Report
Hamburger SV beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 at Volksparkstadion in the Germany Bundesliga on Friday. It was 1-1 at the break.
Miro Muheim opened the scoring for Hamburger SV on 11 minutes, set up by Albert Sambi Lokonga. Robin Hack levelled for Borussia Mönchengladbach on 44 minutes, set up by Joe Scally. Shafiq Nandja put Hamburger SV in front on 59 minutes, set up by Albert Grönbaek. Albert Grönbaek made it 3-1 on 70 minutes.
Hamburger SV had 62% of the ball and 18 shots (9 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 19 (6). Expected goals finished Hamburger SV 2.37, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.47, a close game on chances.
Ko Itakura (Borussia Mönchengladbach, 49') was sent off. Referee Sven Jablonski showed 2 yellow cards.
Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, won with 4 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 11' Miro Muheim Hamburger SV · assist Albert Sambi Lokonga
- 38' Ko Itakura Borussia Mönchengladbach · Yellow Card
- 44' Robin Hack Borussia Mönchengladbach · assist Joe Scally
- 49' Ko Itakura Borussia Mönchengladbach · Red Card
- 59' Shafiq Nandja Hamburger SV · assist Albert Grönbaek
- 70' Albert Grönbaek Hamburger SV
- 90+2' Jens Castrop Borussia Mönchengladbach · Yellow Card
- 90+3' Warmed Omari Hamburger SV · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Hamburger SV hosted Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Germany Bundesliga (matchday 9) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:30 GMT+0100 at Volksparkstadion in Hamburger. Sven Jablonski was the referee.
Hamburger SV are 15th in the table with 9 points from 8 games (3-0-5), while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th on 4 points. Hamburger SV have a 5-point advantage. At home Hamburger SV have won 2 of 3; Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of 4 on the road.
Hamburger SV have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Borussia Mönchengladbach have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-W-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Hamburger SV have won 2, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2, with 2 draws and an average of 2.2 goals per game. The most recent, in January 2026, finished Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Hamburger SV average 0.9 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Borussia Mönchengladbach average 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
Hamburger SV will be without B. Nadir (muscle injury), N. Remberg (knee injury), F. Vieira (thigh injury) and M. Vuskovic (doping), and N. Capaldo (muscle injury) and Y. Poulsen (hip injury) are doubtful. Borussia Mönchengladbach will be without H. Bolin (muscle injury), N. Kuhn (muscle injury), E. Leopold (knee injury) and J. Leszczynski (knee injury), and K. Diks (personal reasons), F. Fleck (muscle injury), F. Honorat (muscle injury), T. Kleindienst (muscle injury) and M. Nicolas (injury) are doubtful.
Line-ups: Hamburger SV lined up in a 3-5-2, Borussia Mönchengladbach in a 3-4-2-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Hamburger SV the favourites: Hamburger SV 2.30, draw 3.50, Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.73 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.8 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals and recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
Team news
- Out B. Nadir Muscle Injury
- Out N. Remberg Knee Injury
- Out F. Vieira Thigh Injury
- Out M. Vuskovic Doping
- Doubtful N. Capaldo Muscle Injury
- Doubtful Y. Poulsen Hip Injury
- Out H. Bolin Muscle Injury
- Out N. Kuhn Muscle Injury
- Out E. Leopold Knee Injury
- Out J. Leszczynski Knee Injury
- Doubtful K. Diks Personal Reasons
- Doubtful F. Fleck Muscle Injury
- Doubtful F. Honorat Muscle Injury
- Doubtful T. Kleindienst Muscle Injury
- Doubtful M. Nicolas Injury
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Season stats
| Hamburger SV | Borussia Mönchengladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 0 / 5 | 1 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 7 (0.9) | 11 (1.4) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 19 (2.4) | 22 (2.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.0 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-2-1 | 3-4-2-1 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Daniel Heuer Fernandes, S. Nandja, S. Bornauw, W. Omari, Z. El Ouahdi, M. Adeline, A. Sambi Lokonga, M. Muheim, D. Møller Wolfe, P. Daka, A. Grønbæk
Coach: M. Polzin
D. Batz, K. Itakura, P. Sander, F. Chiarodia, J. Scally, Z. Uno, F. Neuhaus, L. Ullrich, R. Hack, W. Mohya, S. Machino
Coach: A. Blessin
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 22:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.18 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 43.0% |
| Draw | 26.0% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 31.0% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 69.0% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 57.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73.1% |
| Both teams to score | 53.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 19:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.8 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals and recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Hamburger SV
WWWLL
1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Borussia Mönchengladbach
LLLWD
1.6 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Hamburger SV wins 2 draws 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins last 6 meetings
- Hamburger SV0 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga
- Borussia Mönchengladbach0 - 0Hamburger SV Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV2 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach Bundesliga
- Borussia Monchengladbach3 - 1Hamburger SV Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV2 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV1 - 2Borussia Monchengladbach DFB Pokal
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 14:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).