FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
November 7, 2026 at 18:00 · Stade de Suisse Wankdorf Bern
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FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys prediction and betting tip for this Switzerland Super League match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 18:00 at Stade de Suisse Wankdorf Bern. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.06), 95% confidence.
FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys Preview
FC Luzern host BSC Young Boys in the Switzerland Super League (matchday 13) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 GMT+0100 at Stade de Suisse Wankdorf Bern.
FC Luzern are 8th in the table with 13 points from 12 games (3-4-5), while BSC Young Boys sit 2nd on 25 points. BSC Young Boys have a 12-point advantage. At home FC Luzern have won 3 of 6; BSC Young Boys have won 3 of 5 on the road.
FC Luzern have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-D), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. BSC Young Boys have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-W-L), averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings FC Luzern have won 1, BSC Young Boys 4, with 1 draw and an average of 3.7 goals per game. The most recent, in September 2026, finished BSC Young Boys 3-3 FC Luzern.
FC Luzern average 1.6 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. BSC Young Boys average 3.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: D. Mikołajewski leads FC Luzern's scoring with 4 goals and 3 assists; S. Essende leads BSC Young Boys's scoring with 14 goals and 3 assists.
Bookmakers make BSC Young Boys the favourites: FC Luzern 3.75, draw 4.50, BSC Young Boys 1.73 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.25 and under at 4.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.28, no 3.50.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 4.4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals and recent form points to 4.2 goals a game.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
Season stats
| FC Luzern | BSC Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 12 | 12 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 4 / 5 | 7 / 4 / 1 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 19 (1.6) | 38 (3.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 25 (2.1) | 23 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 1.2 | 3.1 / 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- D. Mikołajewski 4 goals · 3 assists
- S. Essende 14 goals · 3 assists
- C. Fassnacht 5 goals · 1 assist
- A. Sanches 4 goals · 4 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.10 – 2.80 · most likely score 2-2 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| FC Luzern win | 29.0% |
| Draw | 17.7% |
| BSC Young Boys win | 53.2% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 46.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 71.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 13.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 28.0% |
| Both teams to score | 82.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 17:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 4.4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals and recent form points to 4.2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
FC Luzern
LWLLD
1.8 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
BSC Young Boys
DWWWL
2.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 FC Luzern wins 1 draws 4 BSC Young Boys wins last 6 meetings
- BSC Young Boys3 - 3FC Luzern Super League
- FC Luzern1 - 2BSC Young Boys Super League
- BSC Young Boys2 - 0FC Luzern Super League
- FC Luzern1 - 2BSC Young Boys Super League
- BSC Young Boys2 - 1FC Luzern Super League
- FC Luzern5 - 0BSC Young Boys Super League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
