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Fakel vs Dynamo

Russia Premier League

Fakel Fakel
VS
Dynamo Dynamo

November 7, 2026 at 12:00 · Fakel Stadium

Upcoming

Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2)
Confidence 91%

Fakel vs Dynamo prediction and betting tip for this Russia Premier League match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 12:00 at Fakel Stadium. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2) (odds 1.18), 91% confidence.

More tips for this match
  • Away Win Upcoming

Fakel vs Dynamo Preview

Fakel host Dynamo in the Russia Premier League (matchday 14) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 GMT+0100 at Fakel Stadium in Voronezh. Matvey Zaika is the referee.

Fakel are 16th in the table with 6 points from 13 games (1-3-9), while Dynamo sit 2nd on 28 points. Dynamo have a 22-point advantage. At home Fakel have won 0 of 7; Dynamo have won 3 of 6 on the road.

Fakel have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-W-L-L), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Dynamo have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Fakel have won 1, Dynamo 2, with 3 draws and an average of 1.8 goals per game. The most recent, in August 2026, finished Fakel 0-1 Dynamo.

Fakel average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-3. Dynamo average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Players to watch: K. Tyukavin leads Dynamo's scoring with 6 goals and 1 assist.

Bookmakers make Dynamo the favourites: Fakel 5.25, draw 4.10, Dynamo 1.65 (Marathonbet). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.84 and under at 1.97. Both teams to score: yes 1.81, no 1.89.

Our prediction: Dynamo or draw (X2). The model gives Dynamo or a draw a 100% chance, Dynamo have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 14 places above Fakel.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
2Dynamo13913+928
16Fakel13139-136

Season stats

FakelDynamo
Played1313
Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 3 / 99 / 1 / 3
Goals scored (per game)8 (0.6)21 (1.6)
Goals conceded (per game)21 (1.6)12 (0.9)
Scored at home / away (per game)0.4 / 0.82.0 / 1.2
Clean sheets26
Failed to score82
Longest winning run17
Biggest win1-23-1
Usual formation3-4-34-3-3

Top scorers

Fakel

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Dynamo
  • K. Tyukavin 6 goals · 1 assist
  • V. Okishor 3 goals · 2 assists

Odds (Marathonbet)

Fakel5.25 Draw4.10 Dynamo1.65 1X2.30 121.26 X21.18 Over 1.51.22 Under 1.53.66 Over 3.53.00 Under 3.51.32 Over 2.51.84 Under 2.51.97 BTTS Yes1.81 BTTS No1.89

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Model probabilities

Expected goals 0.56 – 1.98 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 80/100

Market Model
Fakel win 9.5%
Draw 19.4%
Dynamo win 71.1%
Home or draw (1X) 28.9%
Away or draw (X2) 90.5%
Over 1.5 goals 72.1%
Over 2.5 goals 46.6%
Under 2.5 goals 53.4%
Under 3.5 goals 74.9%
Both teams to score 37.0%

For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 0%, draw 50%, away 50%.

Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 16:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

API-Football win probability (for comparison)

Fakel 0% Draw 50% Dynamo 50%

Our tip: Dynamo or draw (X2) — The model gives Dynamo or a draw a 100% chance, Dynamo have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 14 places above Fakel.

Form (last 5)

Fakel LLWLL 0.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Dynamo WWWLW 2.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per game

Team comparison

FakelDynamo
20% 80% Form
17% 83% Attack
31% 69% Defence
23% 77% Poisson
25% 75% Head-to-head
33% 67% Goals
25% 75% Overall

Head-to-head

1 Fakel wins 3 draws 2 Dynamo wins last 6 meetings

  • Fakel0 - 1Dynamo Cup
  • Fakel1 - 1Dynamo Premier League
  • Dynamo3 - 1Fakel Premier League
  • Fakel Voronezh1 - 1Dinamo Moscow Premier League
  • Dinamo Moscow0 - 0Fakel Voronezh Premier League
  • Dinamo Moscow0 - 2Fakel Voronezh Premier League

Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).