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Argentina: Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente Independiente
VS
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra

November 6, 2026 at 23:15 · Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires

Upcoming

Predicted Outcome Under 3.5 Goals
Odds 1.15
Result Match not started

Match Preview

Independiente host Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 16) on Friday 6 November at Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires. Independiente are 5th with 24 points from 16 games, while Deportivo Riestra are 15th with 11 points from 16. Independiente have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 league games. Deportivo Riestra have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 league games. At home this season Independiente score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per game; away from home Deportivo Riestra score 0.2 and concede 1.0. Independiente report no absences, and Deportivo Riestra report no absences. In their last 5 meetings Independiente won 2, Deportivo Riestra won 2 and 1 ended level. Our model makes Under 3.5 Goals the pick at 86% (odds 1.15).

Competition
Argentina: Liga Profesional Argentina — Clausura - 16
Kickoff
Friday 6 November 2026, 23:15
Venue
Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires
Referee
Juan Pafundi

Team news

IndependienteIndependiente

No injuries or suspensions reported.

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra

No injuries or suspensions reported.

League table

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231DLLDW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors16862+1330WWWDW
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield16772+628DWWLD
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba16754+426WLLDL
5IndependienteIndependiente16664+424DLDDL
6LanusLanus16664+324DDWWD
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo16574+022DDWWL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe16565+421DWDLL
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba16637+021DWWDW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia16475-319DWLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.16547-819DLLWL
12PlatensePlatense16376-516WWLDD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016LLLDD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys16367-1215DDWLD
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra16187-711LLDLD

Season stats

IndependienteDeportivo Riestra
HomeAllAwayAll
Played15321531
Won51103
Drawn511614
Lost510914
Goals scored1838315
Goals conceded19381529
Goals scored per game1.21.20.20.5
Goals conceded per game1.31.21.00.9
Clean sheets59410
Failed to score471220
Biggest win3-1—

Top scorers

#PlayerTeamGoalsAssistsApps
1C. TarragonaUnion Santa Fe15232
2A. MódicaGimnasia M.14027
3J. MarabelSarmiento Junin14531
4J. CaicedoHuracan14028
5R. MartínezVelez Sarsfield13230
6G. ÁvalosIndependiente11523
7Á. Di MaríaRosario Central11528
8M. TorresGimnasia L.P.10227
9M. MerentielBoca Juniors9227
10J. FlorentínIndepend. Rivadavia9131

Highlighted: players from the two teams.

Odds

Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — 1.15

Home Win (1)1.62
Draw (X)3.50
Away Win (2)6.00
Home or Draw (1X)1.12
Away or Draw (X2)2.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.49
Under 3.5 Goals1.15
Over 2.5 Goals2.50
Under 2.5 Goals1.50
Both Teams to Score2.38
Both Teams Not to Score1.52

Middle value across bookmakers, from API-Football. Odds change; check with your bookmaker.

Match Analysis

Model pick: Under 3.5 Goals — 86% probability (Very High).

  • Home Win (1)50%
  • Draw (X)30%
  • Away Win (2)20%
  • Home or Draw (1X)80%
  • Away or Draw (X2)50%
  • Over 1.5 Goals59%
  • Under 3.5 Goals86%
  • Over 2.5 Goals32%
  • Under 2.5 Goals68%
  • Both Teams to Score36%
  • Both Teams Not to Score64%

Expected goals: Independiente 1.27 – 0.70 Deportivo Riestra. Probabilities come from Dixon-Coles team strengths and Elo ratings fitted on past results, recorded 5 Nov 00:09 before kickoff; they are estimates, not guarantees.

Form (last 5)

IndependienteIndependiente

  1. D 1–1 @ Defensa Y Justicia 2 Nov
  2. L 0–1 vs Boca Juniors 25 Oct
  3. D 1–1 @ Racing Club 18 Oct
  4. D 0–0 @ Talleres Cordoba 12 Oct
  5. L 1–4 vs Instituto Cordoba 2 Oct

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra

  1. L 0–3 vs Talleres Cordoba 31 Oct
  2. L 0–1 @ Instituto Cordoba 27 Oct
  3. D 1–1 vs Union Santa Fe 20 Oct
  4. L 0–1 @ San Lorenzo 11 Oct
  5. D 1–1 vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 5 Oct

Team comparison

IndependienteIndependienteDeportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
5
15League position
1.50
0.69Points per game
1.20
0.50Goals scored per game
1.20
0.90Goals conceded per game
28%
32%Clean sheets %
22%
65%Failed to score %
3
2Form points (last 5)

The longer bar is the better side for that measure.

Head-to-head

  • 24 Apr 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina Deportivo Riestra 2–0 Independiente
  • 10 Nov 2025 · Liga Profesional Argentina Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Independiente
  • 28 Apr 2025 · Liga Profesional Argentina Independiente 0–0 Deportivo Riestra
  • 6 Oct 2024 · Liga Profesional Argentina Independiente 3–1 Deportivo Riestra
  • 15 Mar 2024 · Copa de la Liga Profesional Deportivo Riestra 1–0 Independiente

Data from API-Football, updated 5 Nov 2026, 12:24. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.