Skip to content

France - Ligue 1

Toulouse Toulouse
VS
Strasbourg Strasbourg

November 6, 2026 at 20:45 · Stadium Municipal, Toulouse

Upcoming

Predicted Outcome Over 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.17
Result Match not started

Match Preview

Toulouse host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10) on Friday 6 November at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. Toulouse are 12th with 10 points from 9 games, while Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points from 9. Toulouse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 league games. Strasbourg have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 league games. At home this season Toulouse score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per game; away from home Strasbourg score 1.6 and concede 2.6. Toulouse have 6 players listed as out or doubtful, and Strasbourg have 4 players listed as out or doubtful. In their last 6 meetings Toulouse won 2, Strasbourg won 3 and 1 ended level. Our model makes Over 1.5 Goals the pick at 79% (odds 1.17).

Competition
France: Ligue 1 — Regular Season - 10
Kickoff
Friday 6 November 2026, 20:45
Venue
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Referee
Mathieu Vernice

Team news

ToulouseToulouse

  • A. Donnum — Out (Yellow Cards)
  • R. Messali — Out (Thigh Injury)
  • M. Niflore — Doubtful (Knee Injury)
  • A. Donnum — Out (Yellow Cards)
  • R. Messali — Out (Thigh Injury)
  • M. Niflore — Doubtful (Knee Injury)

StrasbourgStrasbourg

  • J. Panichelli — Out (Knee Injury)
  • F. Balde — Doubtful (Leg Injury)
  • J. Panichelli — Out (Knee Injury)
  • F. Balde — Doubtful (Leg Injury)

League table

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain9621+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille9531+618WDDWL
3LyonLyon9522+817WLWLW
4Paris FCParis FC9522+617WLWLW
5RennesRennes9513+116LWLWL
6MarseilleMarseille9504+715WWWWL
7MonacoMonaco9432+215LDLDW
8NiceNice9423+114WWLWW
9LensLens9414+313LWWWL
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 299333+412WLDWL
11LorientLorient9333-112LDWWL
12ToulouseToulouse9243-110LDWDW
13StrasbourgStrasbourg9315-210WLLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre9315-1010LDWLW
15AngersAngers9225-88LDLLW
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes9225-98WDLLL
17Le MansLe Mans9144-77LDLLW
18Le HavreLe Havre9027-112LLLLL

Season stats

ToulouseStrasbourg
HomeAllAwayAll
Played4959
Won1213
Drawn1401
Lost2345
Goals scored312817
Goals conceded5131319
Goals scored per game0.81.31.61.9
Goals conceded per game1.31.42.62.1
Clean sheets1200
Failed to score3422
Biggest win3-22-6

Top scorers

#PlayerTeamGoalsAssistsApps
1L. SinayokoParis FC859
2E. LepaulRennes707
3C. ArcherAuxerre607
4A. GouiriMarseille639
5E. WahiNice628
6C. TengstedtToulouse517
7Gessime YassineStrasbourg439
8Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain419
9L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29419
10S. SzymańskiRennes417

Highlighted: players from the two teams.

Odds

Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — 1.17

Home Win (1)2.07
Draw (X)3.78
Away Win (2)3.30
Home or Draw (1X)1.33
Away or Draw (X2)1.75
Over 1.5 Goals1.17
Under 3.5 Goals1.54
Over 2.5 Goals1.61
Under 2.5 Goals2.38
Both Teams to Score1.51
Both Teams Not to Score2.45

Middle value across bookmakers, from API-Football. Odds change; check with your bookmaker.

Match Analysis

Model pick: Over 1.5 Goals — 79% probability (Moderate).

  • Home Win (1)39%
  • Draw (X)25%
  • Away Win (2)36%
  • Home or Draw (1X)64%
  • Away or Draw (X2)61%
  • Over 1.5 Goals79%
  • Under 3.5 Goals66%
  • Over 2.5 Goals56%
  • Under 2.5 Goals44%
  • Both Teams to Score59%
  • Both Teams Not to Score41%

Expected goals: Toulouse 1.51 – 1.43 Strasbourg. Probabilities come from Dixon-Coles team strengths and Elo ratings fitted on past results, recorded 5 Nov 00:09 before kickoff; they are estimates, not guarantees.

Form (last 5)

ToulouseToulouse

  1. L 0–2 @ Marseille 1 Nov
  2. D 0–0 vs Estac Troyes 25 Oct
  3. W 3–0 @ Le Mans 16 Oct
  4. D 2–2 @ Monaco 10 Oct
  5. W 3–2 vs Le Havre 19 Sep

StrasbourgStrasbourg

  1. W 5–1 vs Auxerre 1 Nov
  2. L 0–3 @ Rennes 25 Oct
  3. L 1–3 vs Paris Saint Germain 17 Oct
  4. L 1–2 @ Nice 11 Oct
  5. L 1–2 @ Paris FC 19 Sep

Team comparison

ToulouseToulouseStrasbourgStrasbourg
12
13League position
1.11
1.11Points per game
1.30
1.90Goals scored per game
1.40
2.10Goals conceded per game
22%
0%Clean sheets %
44%
22%Failed to score %
8
3Form points (last 5)

The longer bar is the better side for that measure.

Head-to-head

  • 3 May 2026 · Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse
  • 6 Dec 2025 · Ligue 1 Toulouse 1–0 Strasbourg
  • 16 Mar 2025 · Ligue 1 Strasbourg 2–1 Toulouse
  • 12 Jan 2025 · Ligue 1 Toulouse 1–2 Strasbourg
  • 7 Apr 2024 · Ligue 1 Toulouse 0–0 Strasbourg
  • 27 Aug 2023 · Ligue 1 Strasbourg 2–0 Toulouse

Data from API-Football, updated 5 Nov 2026, 12:24. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.