Brazil: Serie A
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
November 5, 2026 at 01:30 · Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
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Botafogo host Atletico-MG in the Serie A (Regular Season - 34) on Thursday 5 November at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro. Botafogo are 12th with 39 points from 33 games, while Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points from 33. Botafogo have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 league games. Atletico-MG have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 league games. At home this season Botafogo score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per game; away from home Atletico-MG score 1.1 and concede 1.3. Botafogo have 8 players listed as out or doubtful, and Atletico-MG have 10 players listed as out or doubtful. In their last 6 meetings Botafogo won 3, Atletico-MG won 1 and 2 ended level. Our model makes Over 1.5 Goals the pick at 71% (odds 1.20).
- Competition
- Brazil: Serie A — Regular Season - 34
- Kickoff
- Thursday 5 November 2026, 01:30
- Venue
- Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
- Referee
- L. Casagrande
Team news
Botafogo
- J. Barrera — Out (Ankle Injury)
- Danilo Santos — Out (Injury)
- Kaio Pantaleao — Out (Knee Injury)
- Arthur Chaves — Doubtful (Inactive)
- J. Barrera — Out (Ankle Injury)
- Danilo Santos — Out (Injury)
- Kaio Pantaleao — Out (Knee Injury)
- Arthur Chaves — Doubtful (Inactive)
Atletico-MG
- T. Borbas — Out (Muscle Injury)
- M. Cassierra — Out (Muscle Injury)
- Fred — Out (Muscle Injury)
- Reinier — Out (Injury)
- Ruan Tressoldi — Out (Muscle Injury)
- T. Borbas — Out (Muscle Injury)
- M. Cassierra — Out (Muscle Injury)
- Fred — Out (Muscle Injury)
- Reinier — Out (Injury)
- Ruan Tressoldi — Out (Muscle Injury)
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +40 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 57 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 | LDLWD |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | +5 | 50 | LLWWD |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | +0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 42 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 | WWLDD |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 | LDWLD |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
Season stats
| Botafogo | Atletico-MG | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | All | Away | All | |
| Played | 16 | 33 | 16 | 33 |
| Won | 6 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| Drawn | 6 | 9 | 3 | 8 |
| Lost | 4 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| Goals scored | 26 | 45 | 17 | 44 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 53 | 21 | 39 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 0-4 | ||
Top scorers
| # | Player | Team | Goals | Assists | Apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Viveros | Atletico Paranaense | 21 | 3 | 31 |
| 2 | Pedro | Flamengo | 18 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Gabriel Barbosa | Santos | 15 | 3 | 25 |
| 4 | Kaio Jorge | Cruzeiro | 12 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Samuel Lino | Flamengo | 11 | 9 | 32 |
| 6 | Carlos Vinícius | Gremio | 11 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Luciano Juba | Bahia | 11 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Danilo Santos | Botafogo | 10 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Rene | Vitoria | 10 | 1 | 25 |
| 10 | J. Calleri | Sao Paulo | 10 | 2 | 27 |
Highlighted: players from the two teams.
Odds
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — 1.20
Middle value across bookmakers, from API-Football. Odds change; check with your bookmaker.
Match Analysis
Model pick: Over 1.5 Goals — 71% probability.
Expected goals: Botafogo 1.37 – 1.10 Atletico-MG. Probabilities come from Dixon-Coles team strengths and Elo ratings fitted on past results, recorded 4 Nov 00:09 before kickoff; they are estimates, not guarantees.
Form (last 5)
Botafogo
- L 1–2 @ Remo 29 Oct
- L 0–3 @ Internacional 24 Oct
- W 1–0 vs Chapecoense-sc 17 Oct
- D 1–1 @ Coritiba 12 Oct
- L 1–2 vs Vasco DA Gama 8 Oct
Atletico-MG
- L 0–1 vs Cruzeiro 29 Oct
- L 2–3 @ Flamengo 27 Oct
- W 1–0 vs Coritiba 17 Oct
- W 2–1 vs Santos 11 Oct
- D 2–2 @ Atletico Paranaense 9 Oct
Team comparison
BotafogoAtletico-MGThe longer bar is the better side for that measure.
Head-to-head
- 10 May 2026 · Serie A Atletico-MG 1–1 Botafogo
- 20 Sep 2025 · Serie A Botafogo 1–0 Atletico-MG
- 20 Apr 2025 · Serie A Atletico-MG 1–0 Botafogo
- 30 Nov 2024 · CONMEBOL Libertadores Atletico-MG 1–3 Botafogo
- 21 Nov 2024 · Serie A Atletico-MG 0–0 Botafogo
- 8 Jul 2024 · Serie A Botafogo 3–0 Atletico-MG
Data from API-Football, updated 4 Nov 2026, 00:09. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.