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England - Championship

Derby
VS
Norwich

November 3, 2026 at 20:45 · Pride Park Stadium

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Predicted Outcome Over 1.5 Goals
Result Match not started

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Derby host Norwich in the Championship (Regular Season - 14) on Tuesday 3 November at Pride Park Stadium, Derby. Derby are 23rd with 7 points from 13 games, while Norwich are 15th with 15 points from 13. Derby have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 league games. Norwich have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 league games. At home this season Derby score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per game; away from home Norwich score 1.7 and concede 2.0. Derby have 16 players listed as out or doubtful, and Norwich have 10 players listed as out or doubtful. In their last 6 meetings Derby won 2, Norwich won 3 and 1 ended level. Our model makes Over 1.5 Goals the pick at 80%.

Competition
England: Championship — Regular Season - 14
Kickoff
Tuesday 3 November 2026, 20:45
Venue
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Referee
Sam Allison

Team news

Derby

  • P. Agyemang — Out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • E. Cashin — Out (Inactive)
  • M. Clarke — Out (Calf Injury)
  • C. Forsyth — Out (Knee Injury)
  • S. Langas — Out (Injury)
  • D. Murkin — Out (Hamstring Injury)
  • C. Taylor — Out (Injury)
  • L. Travis — Out (Ankle Injury)
  • P. Agyemang — Out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • E. Cashin — Out (Inactive)
  • M. Clarke — Out (Calf Injury)
  • C. Forsyth — Out (Knee Injury)
  • S. Langas — Out (Injury)
  • D. Murkin — Out (Hamstring Injury)
  • C. Taylor — Out (Injury)
  • L. Travis — Out (Ankle Injury)

Norwich

  • A. Ahmed — Out (Knee Injury)
  • P. A. Diallo — Out (Injury)
  • G. Forsyth — Out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • M. Toure — Out (Shoulder Injury)
  • P. Mattsson — Doubtful (Health problems)
  • A. Ahmed — Out (Knee Injury)
  • P. A. Diallo — Out (Injury)
  • G. Forsyth — Out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • M. Toure — Out (Shoulder Injury)
  • P. Mattsson — Doubtful (Health problems)

League table

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Middlesbrough13841+1328WWDWW
2Swansea13823+726WLLWW
3Wolves13733+724WWDWL
4West Brom13733+524WDWWL
5Southampton13832+1523WWDWW
6Birmingham13652+1023WLWWW
7Stoke City13724+423WDWLW
8West Ham13643+1522LLWWD
9QPR13553+520LWLWD
10Sheffield Utd13544+219WDWLW
11Portsmouth13544+119DWDWW
12Millwall13535+218WLDLW
13Blackburn13535-118LWLWW
14Bristol City13535-218WDLLD
15Norwich13508-115WWLLL
16Lincoln13436-915LWDLL
17Cardiff13355-114LWDWL
18Wrexham13355-414LLWLD
19Bolton13427-814LLDWL
20Charlton13355-1014LLLDD
21Watford13328-1111LLWLL
22Burnley13166-89DLLDW
23Derby13148-147LDLLD
24Preston131210-175LDLLL

Season stats

DerbyNorwich
HomeAllAwayAll
Played613613
Won0125
Drawn2400
Lost4848
Goals scored4111023
Goals conceded10251224
Goals scored per game0.70.81.71.8
Goals conceded per game1.71.92.01.8
Clean sheets0100
Failed to score3424
Biggest win—1-3

Top scorers

#PlayerTeamGoalsAssistsApps
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough13013
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn8112
3C. LarinSouthampton7011
4J. BowenWest Ham7513
5Fer LópezWolves6312
6J. MoylanCardiff6313
7A. PriskeBirmingham6111
8J. MorganWest Brom5413
9K. MooreWrexham5113
10P. BamfordSheffield Utd5111

Highlighted: players from the two teams.

Odds

Home Win (1)3.25
Draw (X)3.60
Away Win (2)2.07
Home or Draw (1X)1.71
Away or Draw (X2)1.31
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 3.5 Goals1.44
Over 2.5 Goals1.68
Under 2.5 Goals2.11
Both Teams to Score1.57
Both Teams Not to Score2.25

Middle value across bookmakers, from API-Football. Odds change; check with your bookmaker.

Match Analysis

Model pick: Over 1.5 Goals — 80% probability (High).

  • Home Win (1)39%
  • Draw (X)25%
  • Away Win (2)35%
  • Home or Draw (1X)65%
  • Away or Draw (X2)61%
  • Over 1.5 Goals80%
  • Under 3.5 Goals66%
  • Over 2.5 Goals57%
  • Under 2.5 Goals43%
  • Both Teams to Score60%
  • Both Teams Not to Score40%

Expected goals: Derby 1.52 – 1.43 Norwich. Probabilities come from Dixon-Coles team strengths and Elo ratings fitted on past results, recorded 2 Nov 00:55 before kickoff; they are estimates, not guarantees.

Form (last 5)

Derby

  1. L 1–4 @ Millwall 31 Oct
  2. D 1–1 @ Sheffield Utd 24 Oct
  3. L 0–1 vs Stoke City 17 Oct
  4. L 1–4 @ QPR 14 Oct
  5. D 1–1 vs Wrexham 10 Oct

Norwich

  1. W 3–2 vs Watford 31 Oct
  2. W 3–1 @ Charlton 24 Oct
  3. L 0–1 vs Portsmouth 17 Oct
  4. L 0–1 vs Southampton 14 Oct
  5. L 1–2 @ Swansea 10 Oct

Team comparison

DerbyNorwich
23
15League position
0.54
1.15Points per game
0.80
1.80Goals scored per game
1.90
1.80Goals conceded per game
8%
0%Clean sheets %
31%
31%Failed to score %
2
6Form points (last 5)

The longer bar is the better side for that measure.

Head-to-head

  • 21 Apr 2026 · Championship Norwich 2–1 Derby
  • 21 Oct 2025 · Championship Derby 1–0 Norwich
  • 8 Feb 2025 · Championship Norwich 1–1 Derby
  • 28 Sep 2024 · Championship Derby 2–3 Norwich
  • 10 Apr 2021 · Championship Derby 0–1 Norwich
  • 3 Oct 2020 · Championship Norwich 0–1 Derby

Data from API-Football, updated 2 Nov 2026, 08:40. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.