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France - Ligue 1

Lorient
VS
Stade Brestois 29

November 2, 2026 at 20:45 · Stade du Moustoir

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Predicted Outcome Over 1.5 Goals
Result Match not started

Match Preview

Lorient host Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) on Monday 2 November at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Lorient are 10th with 12 points from 8 games, while Stade Brestois 29 are 14th with 9 points from 8. Lorient have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 league games. Stade Brestois 29 have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 league games. At home this season Lorient score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per game; away from home Stade Brestois 29 score 1.5 and concede 1.5. Lorient have 4 players listed as out or doubtful, and Stade Brestois 29 have 6 players listed as out or doubtful. In their last 6 meetings Lorient won 1, Stade Brestois 29 won 3 and 2 ended level. Our model makes Over 1.5 Goals the pick at 76%.

Competition
France: Ligue 1 — Regular Season - 9
Kickoff
Monday 2 November 2026, 20:45
Venue
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Referee
Jeremie Pignard

Team news

Lorient

  • B. Fadiga — Out (Muscle Injury)
  • P. Katseris — Out (Muscle Injury)
  • B. Fadiga — Out (Muscle Injury)
  • P. Katseris — Out (Muscle Injury)

Stade Brestois 29

  • B. Chardonnet — Out (Calf Injury)
  • R. Le Guen — Out (Broken Leg)
  • G. Versini — Doubtful (Leg Injury)
  • B. Chardonnet — Out (Calf Injury)
  • R. Le Guen — Out (Broken Leg)
  • G. Versini — Doubtful (Leg Injury)

League table

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain9621+1120WWWWW
2Lille9531+618WDDWL
3Lyon9522+817WLWLW
4Paris FC9522+617WLWLW
5Rennes9513+116LWLWL
6Marseille9504+715WWWWL
7Monaco9432+215LDLDW
8Nice9423+114WWLWW
9Lens9414+313LWWWL
10Lorient8332+112DWWLD
11Toulouse9243-110LDWDW
12Strasbourg9315-210WLLLL
13Auxerre9315-1010LDWLW
14Stade Brestois 298233+29LDWLL
15Angers9225-88LDLLW
16Estac Troyes9225-98WDLLL
17Le Mans9144-77LDLLW
18Le Havre9027-112LLLLL

Season stats

LorientStade Brestois 29
HomeAllAwayAll
Played4848
Won2312
Drawn1323
Lost1213
Goals scored57614
Goals conceded46612
Goals scored per game1.30.91.51.8
Goals conceded per game1.00.81.51.5
Clean sheets2500
Failed to score0201
Biggest win1-01-2

Top scorers

#PlayerTeamGoalsAssistsApps
1E. LepaulRennes707
2E. WahiNice628
3L. SinayokoParis FC648
4C. ArcherAuxerre506
5A. GouiriMarseille528
6C. TengstedtToulouse516
7Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain419
8S. SzymańskiRennes417
9Paris Josua BrunnerMonaco406
10L. MafoutaLe Mans419

Highlighted: players from the two teams.

Odds

Home Win (1)2.45
Draw (X)3.27
Away Win (2)3.00
Home or Draw (1X)1.38
Away or Draw (X2)1.53
Over 1.5 Goals1.35
Under 3.5 Goals1.28
Over 2.5 Goals2.10
Under 2.5 Goals1.75
Both Teams to Score1.78
Both Teams Not to Score1.95

Middle value across bookmakers, from API-Football. Odds change; check with your bookmaker.

Match Analysis

Model pick: Over 1.5 Goals — 76% probability (Moderate).

  • Home Win (1)47%
  • Draw (X)26%
  • Away Win (2)28%
  • Home or Draw (1X)72%
  • Away or Draw (X2)53%
  • Over 1.5 Goals76%
  • Under 3.5 Goals71%
  • Over 2.5 Goals52%
  • Under 2.5 Goals48%
  • Both Teams to Score55%
  • Both Teams Not to Score45%

Expected goals: Lorient 1.58 – 1.16 Stade Brestois 29. Probabilities come from Dixon-Coles team strengths and Elo ratings fitted on past results, recorded 2 Nov 00:55 before kickoff; they are estimates, not guarantees.

Form (last 5)

Lorient

  1. D 0–0 @ Angers 25 Oct
  2. W 1–0 vs Monaco 18 Oct
  3. W 1–0 vs Paris FC 10 Oct
  4. L 1–2 @ Le Mans 19 Sep
  5. D 2–2 vs Toulouse 12 Sep

Stade Brestois 29

  1. L 1–2 vs Nice 23 Oct
  2. D 1–1 @ Lille 17 Oct
  3. W 5–1 vs Angers 10 Oct
  4. L 1–2 @ Auxerre 20 Sep
  5. L 0–1 vs Paris Saint Germain 13 Sep

Team comparison

LorientStade Brestois 29
10
14League position
1.50
1.12Points per game
0.90
1.80Goals scored per game
0.80
1.50Goals conceded per game
62%
0%Clean sheets %
25%
12%Failed to score %
8
4Form points (last 5)

The longer bar is the better side for that measure.

Head-to-head

  • 7 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lorient
  • 19 Oct 2025 · Ligue 1 Lorient 3–3 Stade Brestois 29
  • 20 Jul 2024 · Friendlies Clubs Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 31 Mar 2024 · Ligue 1 Lorient 0–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 20 Dec 2023 · Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 4–0 Lorient
  • 7 May 2023 · Ligue 1 Lorient 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Data from API-Football, updated 2 Nov 2026, 08:40. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.